Prediction Cards


What It Means
Quick Example
Chance
The starting odds that this card will win when an Upshot event goes live. Since Upshot is a blend of foresight, chance and skill. The chance reflected on each card is just a starting line. Real world news and time may flip the true odds at any moment. Skilled players will use their own skills to decide if other players are wrong. They can choose to hold onto cards or trade it with other players or even accumulate more of the same card.
The chance of Mark Zuckerberg being the world’s first trillionaire starts off at a 44% chance. This could change depending on his net wealth and company performances over time.
Potential Winnings
This number reflects your slice of the event’s prize pool! This is calculated from the total cash in the prize pool as well as the number of individuals holding similar cards. The number may increase over time from yield, sponsorship funds and other players joining the game.
If Mark Zuckerberg is the world’s first trillionaire. Then the holder of the card stands to win $1139 USD.
Rules
Judging criteria to determine winners for an event. Presented as a “Drop Down” menu on the Upshot Platform.
Example Ruleset for World’s First Trillionaire: “Net worth must be publicly reported by a reputable source such as Forbes, Fortune, Financial Times) and based on Verifiable assets such as cash, real estate, equity holdings.”
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